People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them. Nate Silver gravitatehappyimply Change image and share on social
The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake. Nate Silver directionhampshireinstance Change image and share on social
Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately. Nate Silver boredreadfullyelection Change image and share on social
By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes. Nate Silver artificiallycurvedevelop Change image and share on social
I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil. Nate Silver evilgoodlevel Change image and share on social
When you get into statistical analysis, you don't really expect to achieve fame. Or to become an Internet meme. Or be parodied by 'The Onion' - or be the subject of a cartoon in 'The New Yorker.' I guess I'm kind of an outlier there. Nate Silver achieveanalysiscartoon share on social
I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.' Nate Silver behaviorexperimentobserve Change image and share on social
First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views. Nate Silver coveroddpeople Change image and share on social
We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way. Nate Silver calibrateestimateprediction Change image and share on social
I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs. Nate Silver articleblogjournal Change image and share on social
